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written by reader warren buffett teaser from jason williams

By clarknewhall, March 24, 2017

What is the stock that Jason Williams is touting on the back of Warren Buffett:
Warren Buffett is a long-term value investor. He finds companies that are undervalued, buys up lots of shares, and holds them for a really long time. In fact, he’s been known to say that his favorite holding period is forever.

But that doesn’t mean he’s opposed to making a quick profit. If a company meets his strict criteria for being a value investment and he can influence one of the companies he’s got millions invested in to buy it, that’s all the better.

Buffett Hits a Speed Bump

By now you probably heard about Warren Buffet’s attempted buyout of Unilever.

He scooped up millions of dollars in shares of Kraft Heinz and then tried to get Unilever into its portfolio, for a few reasons: One, it was undervalued by the market. But more importantly, it was primed to make a ton of cash in the future and make his investment a tidy profit.

Like I said, Buffett’s not one to shy away from a quick profit. He’s made his fortune by holding stocks for decades to capture the power of compound interest and dividend payments. But he’s not afraid to be an activist investor and make some fast cash, either. So, it’s understandable that he was quick to get onboard with a Unilever buyout.

But the company didn’t do what Buffett wanted. Word of the takeover leaked, and the stock shot up 22%. And management there rebuffed the multibillion-dollar takeover attempt. The high price and management challenge led Buffett to walk away from the deal to look for something better. And Unilever remains a standalone company.

Now, he’s on the lookout for another takeover candidate. And I’ve found his next potential target. It’s a by-the-book value investment. It’s in a perfect place to make shareholders a ton of money and to be bought out by the Oracle of Omaha as he tries to capture its gigantic share of the market.

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Buffett’s Next Target

Management at this company has spent the last three years focusing on becoming more efficient and cutting the costs that have been keeping revenues from flowing to the bottom line as profits. They’ve done a great job so far and are keeping the trend going this year, too.

Plus, the company has a rock-solid balance sheet and valuation to make the rest of its industry jealous.

It’s trading at a 41% discount to its peers on a price-to-earnings basis. And its enterprise value to future EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) — my favorite valuation metric — is substantially lower than the rest of the industry, too.

It makes products that consumers buy no matter what the economic outlook is. When times are tough, people want these goods. When times are good, people want even more.

It’s not the most exciting name in the market — not some tech company with the latest and greatest gadget… not some pharmaceutical with a new medicine getting ready to disrupt the medical field — but that’s a good thing. It’s going relatively unnoticed by a lot of investors, even while stock prices cruise to all-time high levels and Warren Buffett gets set to make an offer.

It’s primed to see some serious growth to its operational cash flows this year thanks to the cost-cutting programs management has put in place over the past few years. And although it’s trading at the top of its historical level, it’s still not an expensive stock — not when compared to the rest of the industry, and not even compared to its own historical valuation.

Selling Necessities

That’s what Buffett’s next target does. And it’s the reason the company has been in business for a century and a half. Simply put, this company makes things people love. And it’s never done a better job of making them and getting them into the hands of the consumer.

The company is best known for its dominance in the consumer goods sector. It makes and sells a stable of products that people buy no matter what the economic outlook is. In fact, to say it’s got a well-balanced portfolio would be an understatement. No one segment makes up more than 20% of its total sales.GIS Sales Hidden

And demand is growing for all of its various categories.

In fact, while other companies in this industry were feeling a pinch on the top line last year, Buffett’s next target grew revenues every quarter. As cost-cutting methods and wise investments began to really pay off, it continued its multi-year trend of providing higher shareholder returns than the S&P 500. Plus, it continued a solid record of growing earnings per share.

GIS Collage

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Slow and Steady

This company incorporated nearly a hundred years ago. Ever since, it’s had a tradition of growing both the business and shareholder returns.

That’s the focus of the 48th longest trading stock on the exchange. It’s what they do. They grow the business because that’s what’s going to insure the company is around for at least another century, and they grow shareholder returns because that’s what keeps investors happy.

Management also grows dividends. They’ve shared the profits with investors for the past 24 years without missing a dividend payment once. And they’ve hiked that payment every year without fail for the past 13 years. Neither of those traditions is coming to an end anytime soon.

Last year the company paid out over $1 billion to shareholders in the form of dividends. This year, it’ll be even more. That’s because management gave investors another raise last year. Now they’re paying 8% more per year. That’s an extra $84 million-plus that will be flowing directly to shareholders’ bank accounts in 2017.

But dividends aren’t the only thing growing at Buffett’s next target. The company has also been growing earnings and operational cash flow (the money left after paying to run the business) between 3% and 4% per year as well.

I know 3% to 4% doesn’t sound incredibly exciting. But when you factor that kind of continuing growth into a long-term investment horizon like Buffett does, you get really high returns. Over the past 34 years, the company has brought sharehold

This is a discussion topic or guest posting submitted by a Stock Gumshoe reader. The content has not been edited or reviewed by Stock Gumshoe, and any opinions expressed are those of the author alone.



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