Friday File: Annual Review Part 3 (plus PANIC, SPCE and more)

by Travis Johnson, Stock Gumshoe | February 7, 2020 4:43 pm


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Checking in on more Real Money Portfolio holdings, including thoughts on GOOG, TTD, SPCE, MKL, DIS, COR and SLP

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mike_d
mike_d
2 years ago

Travis,
THANK YOU very much for your insight and analysis and all that you do to save all of us members boatloads of money on these newsletters that just want to rob us of our hard earned dollars, that continue to depreciate, on stocks which usually don’t perform as they saw they will . Your response to the new member is sincere, thorough, and thoughtful. OH! Thank You to the Thinkolator as well. πŸ™‚

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eleanor
eleanor
2 years ago

I concur with Mike. Thanks for all you do. The valuation of the entire market is insane and it’s impossible to predict when the collapse will occur and by how much. Last year I sold a portion of my tech ETF and only watch it going up another 30% since the sale. The higher the market goes the harder it is to get back in, worrying about the potential crash.

Having said that, do you have any REIT you like beside COR?

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eleanor
eleanor
2 years ago

Yes they all have gone up quite a bit. I might have to just buy a little bit. Thank you.

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ellie07
ellie07
2 years ago
Reply to  eleanor

Hello , Although there will be pullbacks (less than 10%) and corrections (more than 10%0 which is normal, the market will continue to advance to 2023 with the Dow reaching 40,000+/-. What you are about to see is what is referred to as a “‘meltup.” The market will advance in leaps and bounds. When the party is over, the market will not crash. Rather there will be a slow decline over many years taking us into a bear market that will las for some time. Do not sell stocks. Buy more!

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eleanor
eleanor
2 years ago
Reply to  ellie07

I like your 40000 mark but how do you know the market will go steady down after that? The market is not trading based on fundamentals anymore. It is driven by F. O. M. O and greed and partially based on companies’ earnings potential, which may or may not materialize. I am unable to project the market based on rational thinking.

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bigorangedave
bigorangedave
2 years ago

Thank you for the great explanation on the warrants for virgin galactic. I got in at $2.40 so your examples were quite helpful.

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tanglesome
tanglesome
2 years ago

Hey Travis,

Speaking of all-time-highs for the stock market, how much do you recommend in cash holdings for retirement and non-retirement accounts?

I held 10% for awhile in cash until ~3 years ago when I upped it to 15 percent.

Curious as to your input.

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allang43
allang43
2 years ago

Simulations Plus in my opinion is a very good company.
I bought it on 5/28/10 for $2.45 and sold it on 7/11/19 at $30.74 .
My reason to sell-age and owning too many atocks.
It was a recommendation of The Bowser Report.
Value Line Special Situations recommended it on 12/18 at 19.36.
They have a stop loss at 27.
I don’t buy stocks based on take over basis, but I think this could be candidate.
Good luck, Travis.

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julian_satran
julian_satran
2 years ago

Simulation Plus has definitely great and useful technology for the Pharma (human and vet) industry.
The problem I see is that they serve a very limited market and many of its customers might be tempted to develop the technology inhouse (things would have been different if the tools provided by SLP would have had a generic and a specialized layer – allowing Pharma to add their proprietary components). While looking at the Health Care another company is mentioned often Accelerated Diagnostics (AXDX) – It addresses a larger market a has seen a lot of volatility. Do you have an insight on it?

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julian_satran
julian_satran
2 years ago

What is the Netflix Killer mentioned by Motley Fool?

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julian_satran
julian_satran
2 years ago

thx

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hedy1234
hedy1234
2 years ago

FYI Stansberry just issued a buy on MGM.

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elkate
elkate
2 years ago

I wanted to be smart and tell you that MGM should be good to hold during a recession as a casino stock but then I saw the chart form 07-08 when it became a pennystock, so no worries, you are all good.

contractorr
contractorr
2 years ago

Travis, You mentioned Sports betting, beside PDYPY, any others you feel worth looking at?
Thanks.

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